It is looking like we have lost this war.
"...Trump almost certainly doesn’t have that option this time. As TACO progenitor Armstrong put it in his latest column, “Wars don’t end just because someone declares them to be finished.”
The real question, then, isn’t whether Trump is trying to TACO his way out of Iran; it’s whether Iran will let him if he tries. It’s difficult to assess how the Islamic theocracy’s degraded leadership thinks the war is going so far, and they have every reason to project defiance even if they think it’s going poorly. Iran might well welcome a TACO. But many foreign-policy watchers have interpreted the election of the late Ali Khamenei’s son Mojtaba to be the country’s new supreme leader as a signal of resolve.
Meanwhile, a growing share of Iranian drones appears to be finding their mark as neighboring countries’ ability to intercept them flags. Shipping traffic remains throttled in the Strait of Hormuz, a trade route off Iran’s coast that fully a third of the world’s seagoing oil exports traverse in a normal year. Tuesday, Iran reportedly began dotting the strait with mines, and the Pentagon said it had destroyed Iranian minelaying ships..."