Seems like a putin fantasy to me. Might have had some small success IF the attack was a surprise.
"...Russian leader Vladimir Putin has directed the military to assess options for new offensive operations, including potential strikes on Kyiv. According to Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi, a strike from the Bryansk region toward the Chernihiv region remains the most probable scenario.
Speaking in an interview with TSN on June 30, Syrskyi explained that Putin previously instructed the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces to calculate multiple pathways for a renewed offensive, including potential operations launched from Belarusian territory aimed at capturing the capital and its surrounding areas.
Amid these rising security risks, Ukrainian authorities have announced a mandatory evacuation for 12 border settlements in the Chernihiv region starting July 1, alongside an extension of evacuation orders for 7 additional settlements initially cleared during the winter.
"Considering recent events, I do not think that the leadership of Belarus will dare to provide the aggressor with its territory to use as a staging ground for conducting an offensive operation. At the same time, we are taking such an option into account," Syrskyi said.
The Commander-in-Chief noted that current data instead points to a high likelihood of operations initiating from Russia's Bryansk region directly into the Chernihiv region...."
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